Here’s a look at the roster three days before the Hawks need to cut 22 more players:
Locks: Russell Wilson, Tarvaris Jackson
Not likely: Brady Quinn
Analysis: Wilson didn’t play as well last week as he did in Week 2 vs. Denver. But his offensive line did not give him a lot of help. He will be fine. Quinn got the second reps vs. the Packers and hit big-play receiver Stephen Williams on a long TD pass, but it won’t be enough. Jackson will be No. 2 and Quinn will play his final game for Seattle on Thursday.
Locks: Marshawn Lynch, Robert Turbin, Chris Michael
Likely: Spencer Ware, Michael Robinson
Not likely: Derrick Coleman
Analysis: Last Friday in Green Bay, Michael displayed the burst everyone touted by zipping through a gaping hole for a 43-yard touchdown. He and Turbin combined for 147 yards on 21 carries as they duel for the No. 2 spot behind Lynch. “He has made a real flashy first impression,” Carroll said of Michael. “And we’re excited about it. He’s doesn’t have the whole thing yet. He has a lot of work to do. He’s not always reading things properly. But he surely shows a suddenness that gives you a chance to feel that he’s going to bust something.” Michael’s big-play ability helps, but Turbin still seems to have the edge. The Hawks seem likely to keep five, and Ware seems to have the advantage over Coleman. It would not be a total shock if the ailing Robinson is let go, but it seems unlikely.
Locks: Zach Miller, Sean McGrath, Luke Willson
Not likely: Cooper Helfet, Darren Fells
Cuts: Jameson Konz, Andrei Lintz
Analysis: Willson and McGrath have gotten good experience with Wilson while Miller has been sidelined. They combined for three catches last week and both look like capable backups.
Locks: Sidney Rice, Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, Jermaine Kearse
Likely: Stephen Williams
Not likely: Chris Harper, Bryan Walters, Phil Bates, Arceto Clark
PUP: Percy Harvin
Cuts: Perez Ashford, Brett Swain, Donovan Kemp
Analysis: For the third straight game, Williams caught a long touchdown pass, and he also made a big play on third-and-16, running across the field after the catch to the first-down marker. Carroll seemed to indicate after the game that Williams has done enough to make the team, saying, “Stephen Williams … has really made a big statement for himself to become a part of this football team.” It would be a shock if Williams did not make the team along with Kearse. Harper has done almost nothing this preseason but should end up on the practice squad if no other team claims him. Bates, also being worked at fullback, figures to be a practice-squadder. With so much uncertainty after this season at this position, the Hawks probably would love to see Kearse and Williams contribute in 2013.
Locks: LT Russell Okung, LG Paul McQuistan, C Max Unger, RG J.R. Sweezy, RT Breno Giacomini, LG James Carpenter
Likely: C/G Lemuel Jeanpierre, OL Alvin Bailey, OT Michael Bowie
Not likely: OG Rishaw Johnson, OT Mike Person, OG Ryan Seymour, C Jared Smith
Analysis: Sweezy, who got the starting job when John Moffitt was traded last week, had a horrible game in Green Bay, with three penalties. And the rest of the group chipped in as well, tallying a couple of false starts (Okung and Bailey) and a couple more holding infractions (McQuistan and Jeanpierre, who also had one declined). If not for the great rushing totals (155 yards on 24 called runs), this would have been an utter failure up front. The Hawks also tried out a six-man line that did not work well — too often the sixth lineman was wandering around looking for someone to block, and the play went nowhere. Meanwhile, Carpenter has returned to practice after missing the first three games and will play Thursday. But too late to challenge McQuistan for the left guard job. Bailey and Bowie will earn backup jobs. With so many teams around the league in need of line help, Seattle could try to trade a player or two (perhaps Johnson and/or Person) for late picks. None were let go in the first round of cuts.
Locks: Brandon Mebane, Jordan Hill
Likely: Clinton McDonald
Possible: Tony McDaniel, Sealver Siliga
Not likely: Michael Brooks, Dewayne Cherrington
IR: Jesse Williams
Analysis: McDaniel started and made his presence felt, recording a batted pass and tackle for loss. The 330-pound Siliga, acquired in the Moffitt deal, had a sack as he makes a late push for a roster spot. Carroll hinted that McDaniel has made the team, but that seems hard to believe as he again will sit with a groin injury Thursday. McDonald appears safe, and Siliga could make it over McDaniel and Jaye Howard if he shows well vs. Oakland.
5-TECH DEFENSIVE END
Locks: Red Bryant, Michael Bennett
Possible: Jaye Howard
PUP: Greg Scruggs
Analysis: Bennett will work behind Bryant and also as an inside rusher. Howard, who has not done much since the first game, appears to be in a neck-and-neck race with four other linemen for perhaps three spots.
Locks: Chris Clemons (PUP), Cliff Avril, Mike Morgan
Possible: Benson Mayowa
Analysis: Mayowa continued to do his best to make this team, coming up with four tackles (one for loss), recovering a fumble and offering some decent pressure in Green Bay. With Clemons and Avril both injured, Mayowa seems a strong bet to make the club — at least temporarily.
Locks: K.J. Wright, Bobby Wagner, O’Brien Schofield, Malcolm Smith
Likely: Allen Bradford
Possible: Heath Farwell, John Lotulelei, Ty Powell
Suspended: Bruce Irvin
Injured: Korey Toomer
Cuts: Kyle Knox, Craig Wilkins
Analysis: With Irvin out for the first four games, Schofield is pushing Smith to be the starter at strong-side rush linebacker. Bradford seems likely to make the team as Wagner’s backup, meaning Farwell, Powell and Lotulelei probably are fighting for one spot.
Locks: Richard Sherman, Brandon Browner, Walter Thurmond, Antoine Winfield
Likely: Byron Maxwell, Jeremy Lane
Not likely: Ron Parker
PUP: Tharold Simon
Cut: Will Blackmon
Analysis: Blackmon was cut and Simon was put on inactive PUP, so this group seems set. Carroll almost certainly will keep six corners, unless the Hawks manage to trade Maxwell before the season. If they could get a fifth-round pick for the oft-injured but currently healthy corner, it would be a good move.
Locks: Earl Thomas, Kam Chancellor
Likely: Jeron Johnson, Chris Maragos
Not likely: Winston Guy, DeShawn Shead
Analysis: Johnson and Maragos figure to be the backups again. Carroll always keeps 10 or 11 DBs and probably will again, but it would not be a surprise if they kept just three true safeties and relied on cornerbacks if/when necessary so they could keep another front-seven player.
Starters: P Jon Ryan, LS Clint Gresham, K Steven Hauschka
Cut: LS Kyle Nelson
Analysis: Ryan has been booming the ball all preseason. In Green Bay, he knocked three of his five punts inside the 20 and boomed a 65-yarder. Nelson was let go and Gresham was signed to a two-year, $1.66 million deal, saving the Hawks a little money off his $1.32 million restricted free agent tender. This trio will remain the same this season.