Forecast discussion: Despite some cloud cover and minor showers Wednesday morning, it was not a bad weather day over Providence. We did not see any sunshine this afternoon, despite high pressure over the area. We will lose the influence of the high by tomorrow morning, as a low pressure system will make for some wet and windy weather, starting Halloween night.
As we progress through the day, a warm front will slowly work its way towards New England. Temperatures will increase into the lower 60’s this afternoon, but we will see an increased risk for showers as we move through the day. I feel the shower activity will remain scattered as the kids make their way out for treats. We will see increased rainfall and winds after midnight, as we begin to feel the full brunt of this storm. Rain may be heavy at times, especially during the morning commute on Friday. Winds and precipitation will decrease through the day, as the cold front slowly moves offshore.
The front will remain to our south on Saturday, but we will see a lull in between the precipitation. However, the computer models suggest that a weak disturbance forming over the eastern Great Lakes behind the front could bring an isolated shower during the day. The models suggest dry weather, but the American model brings some showers over the area Saturday night into Sunday. For now, I will keep the risk of showers in the forecast, until I see more information tomorrow night.
By Sunday evening, it will be darker a little earlier, as we set the clocks back one hour Sunday morning. However, by this time, high pressure to our west will bring us back to seasonable temperatures and sunshine. But, an upper level ridge will slowly work its way towards the eastern U.S. This allows warmer air from the south to move northward. Our temperatures will spike to above normal temperatures by Tuesday, as we reach the lower 50’s, with highs reaching 60 degrees by next Wednesday.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Partly cloudy with a low of 43.
Halloween: Mostly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated showers arriving around 2 p.m. We will see a high of 61 with south winds at 8-11 mph.
Thursday night: Showers with moderate rain at times and increasing winds by midnight. We will only have a low of 56 with south-southwest winds increasing to 11-14 mph with gusts of 25 mph. Patchy fog develops after midnight.
Friday: Rain, heavy at times, during the morning and early afternoon. It will also be windy during the morning. Precipitation dissipates to showers by the mid-afternoon. All showers end by the early evening, and winds will be diminishing. We will see a high of 70.
Friday night: Mostly cloudy with a low of 50.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers through the day. We will see a high of 62.
Saturday night: Cloudy with isolated showers and a low of 44.
Sunday: Partly sunny with isolated showers, ending by sunset. Highs 52-55, lows 32-35.
Monday: Sunny. Highs 49-52, lows 33-36.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 51-54, lows 39-42.
Wednesday: Partly sunny and milder. Highs 59-62, lows 42-45.